Monty Hall still wants to make a deal

The New York Times recently highlighted a piece by M. Keith Chen that argues that some of the classic behavioral studies in psychology suffer from the Monty Hall Problem.  The basic situation game: An actor is presented with three choices (doors), A, B, and C.  There are two outcomes randomly distributed behind each door: a reward and two failures (a car and two goats).  Each door has an equal chance of containing any of the prizes (without replacement) and the actor chooses a door.  The game then reveals one of the non-chosen outcomes (if the player chose B, then the Continue reading Monty Hall still wants to make a deal


About: Welcome to The Quantitative Peace, a blog dedicated to empirical international relations and comparative politics with a specific focus on quantitative and formal studies.  The goal is to discuss, elaborate, critique, and announce current and emerging research in the subfields that is relevant to the study of international relations and comparative politics.  Additionally, upcoming events and announcements are posted while popular press articles and news stories are highlighted as they relate to our field. The blog was started April 23, 2008. Why? We at the Quantitative Peace believe that social scientists in international relations and comparative politics make an Continue reading About