You are not so smart

Matt at the Harvard Social Science Statistics Blog provides a link to the blog "You are not so smart" with an emphasis on its newest post discussing randomness and causality.  While it is impossible to debunk every pattern someone draws out of coincidences (disconfirming evidence is rarely enough), it provides a good read of the historic coincidences and the false patterns people create from them – including the Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy, Nostradamus, and the Titan(ic).  A new blog has entered the RSS reader.

Michael A. Allen

About Michael A. Allen

Michael is an Assistant Professor in Political Science at Boise State University with a focus in International Relations, Comparative Politics, and Methodology (quantitative and formal). His work includes issues related to military basing abroad, asymmetric relations, cooperation, and conflict. He received his Ph.D from Binghamton University in 2011.

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